Departmental Bulletin Paper 技術領域の限界予測における「集団思考的判断」の影響
ギジュツ リョウイキ ノ ゲンカイ ヨソク ニオケル「シュウダン シコウテキ ハンダン」ノ エイキョウ
The influence of "groupthink-like judgement" on limit predictions in technological field
The influence of "groupthink-like judgement" on predictions of limits in the technological field

久保, 真澄  ,  北, 寿郎  ,  クボ, マスミ  ,  キタ, トシロウ  ,  Kubo, Masumi  ,  Kita, Toshiro

19 ( 1 )  , pp.261 - 276 , 2017-10-10 , 同志社大学政策学会 , Transcription:ドウシシャ ダイガク セイサク ガッカイ , Alternative:The Policy and Management Association of Doshisha University
The manufacturer producing PDP doesn't exist, and PDP has disappeared perfectly from a market. Many Japanese companies did a huge investment in the PDP industry which doesn't have a long life span by a wrong industrial prediction in display device industry. By an interview to engineers, I made it clear about the influence of "engineer's groupthink-like judgement" on predictions of limits in the technological field. A possibility about the existence of "groupthink in a professional collective" peculiar to engineers was confirmed. That's completely different from groupthink in non-professional collective.

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