紀要論文 A Dynamic Bond Pricing Model with Application to the Japanese Government Bonds

Kamizono, Kenji  ,  Kariya, Takeaki  ,  Yamamura, Yoshiro

32pp.57 - 69 , 2016-06-30 , 長崎大学経済学部
ISSN:09108602
内容記述
In this paper, we generalize the cross-sectional fixed-coupon bond pricing model of Kariya et. al.(2012) to a dynamic one. The bond prices are modeled as the present values of the future cash-flows where the discount functions are stochastic and may depend on the bond attributes. In our framework, the cross-sectional and time-series covariance structure among the stochastic discount functions depends on the difference of the time-to-maturity of the bonds. We also propose a bond price forecast method using our model. The empirical result and the forecast performance on the Japanese government bonds are presented.
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http://naosite.lb.nagasaki-u.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/10069/36650/1/keinen32_57.pdf

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